The interaction of tree structure and canopy density promotes tree destruction during heavy rainfall

Tree destruction induced by heavy rainfall, an overlooked type of forest degradation, has been exacerbated along with global climate change. On the Chinese Loess Plateau, especially in afforested gully catchments dominated by Robinia pseudoacacia, destructive rainfall events have increasingly led to widespread forest damage. Previous study has manifested the severity of heavy rainfall-induced tree destruction and its association with topographic change, yet the contributions of tree structure and forest structure remain poorly understood. In this study, we quantified the destroyed trees induced by heavy rainfall using light detection and ranging (LiDAR) techniques. We assessed the influence of tree structure (tree height, crown diameter, and crown area), forest structure (tree density, gap fraction, leaf area index, and canopy cover), and terrain parameters (elevation, slope, and terrain relief) using machine learning models (random forest and logistic regression). Based on these, we aimed to clarify the respective and combined contributions of structural and topographic factors to rainfall-induced tree destruction. Key findings revealed that when considered in isolation, greater tree height, crown diameter, crown area, leaf area index (LAI), and canopy cover suppressed tree destruction, whereas higher gap fractions increased the probability of tree destruction. However, the synergistic increases of tree structural factors (tree height, crown diameter, and crown area) and forest structural factors (LAI and canopy cover) significantly promoted tree destruction, which can counteract the inhibitory effect of terrain on destruction. In addition, increases in tree structure or canopy density (LAI and canopy cover) also increased the probability of tree destruction at the same elevation. Our findings challenge conventional assumptions in forest management by demonstrating the interaction of tree structure and canopy density can significantly promote tree destruction during heavy rainfall. This highlights the need to avoid overly dense afforestation in vulnerable landscapes and supports more adaptive, climate-resilient restoration strategies.