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Prediction of the Heat Load in Central Heating Systems Using GA-BP Algorithm

  • Bingqing Guo
  • , Ling Cheng
  • , Jin Xu
  • , Lei Chen
  • State Grid Corporation of China
  • Xi'an Jiaotong University

科研成果: 书/报告/会议事项章节会议稿件同行评审

5 引用 (Scopus)

摘要

This paper presented the research on heat load prediction method of central heating system. The combined simulation data at Xi'an in January was used as the samples for training and predicting. This paper selected the daily average outdoor wind speed, the daily average outdoor temperature, date type, sunshine duration as input variables and the heating load value as output variable. After preprocessing of the historical data, the BP neural network algorithm and the GA-BP algorithm were employed to predict and verify heat load respectively. Based on the analysis of prediction results, it showed that the error between the predicted data and the actual value using the BP algorithm is large (maximum:-39.8%) and not suitable for heating load prediction while the error between the predicted data and the actual value using the GA-BP algorithm is small (maximum:-16.6%) and within the acceptable range. This paper provided a feasible method for heating load prediction.

源语言英语
主期刊名Proceedings - 2017 International Conference on Computer Network, Electronic and Automation, ICCNEA 2017
出版商Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
441-445
页数5
ISBN(电子版)9781538639818
DOI
出版状态已出版 - 1 12月 2017
活动2017 International Conference on Computer Network, Electronic and Automation, ICCNEA 2017 - Xi'an, 中国
期限: 23 9月 201725 9月 2017

丛书

姓名Proceedings - 2017 International Conference on Computer Network, Electronic and Automation, ICCNEA 2017
2017-January

会议

会议2017 International Conference on Computer Network, Electronic and Automation, ICCNEA 2017
国家/地区中国
Xi'an
时期23/09/1725/09/17

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