Predicting pre- and post-operative acute kidney injury in elderly patients with coronary artery disease

Background: Limited evidence exists regarding the clinical baseline characteristics at admission for acute kidney injury (AKI) before and after interventional cardiac procedures (ICP) in elderly patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). Methods: A total of 488 elderly patients were enrolled in this retrospective single-center study conducted from January 2019 to July 2022, and a classification and regression tree (CART) analysis was performed to identify the high-risk population. Results: The AKI incidence was 21.1 % (103/488) in this study, with 27 and 76 individuals developing AKI before and after ICP, respectively. CART analysis revealed that exposure to nephrotoxic drugs and diuretics had the strongest predictive capacities for identifying patients at risk of developing pre-ICP AKI, with the incidence among these high-risk patients ranging from 6.5 % to 13.8 %. Meanwhile, the optimum discriminators for identifying those at high risk of post-ICP AKI were the administration of diuretics, D-value ≤ −860 mL, age >73 years, and administration of nephrotoxic drugs, and the latter model predicted that the AKI incidence among high-risk patients was between 50.0 % and 60.0 %. Conclusions: Elderly patients with CAD exhibited an elevated incidence of AKI. CART models suggested that exposure to nephrotoxic drugs and diuretics, D-value, and age were significantly associated with AKI in the elderly with CAD. Importantly, these baseline characteristics at admission could be utilized to identify elderly patients at high risk of pre- and post-ICP AKI.