Major pathologic response and long-term clinical benefit in hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy

Background: The majority of HR+/HER2-breast cancer patients can also achieve long-term survival despite not attaining pCR, indicating limited prognostic value of pCR in this population. This study aimed to identify novel pathologic end points for predicting long-term outcomes in HR+/HER2-breast cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Methods: We analyzed HR+/HER2-breast cancer patients with stage II-III tumors who underwent curative surgery after neoadjuvant chemotherapy from three hospitals. Major pathologic response (MPR), defined as the presence of Miller-Payne grades 3–5 and positive lymph node ratio of ≤10 %, was used as a pathological evaluation indicator. We assessed the association between MPR and event-free survival (EFS) and performed Multivariable Cox regression to identify independent factors associated with EFS. Results: From January 2010 to December 2020, 386 patients were included in the final analysis. 28 patients (7.3 %) achieved pCR and 118 patients (30.6 %) achieved MPR. The median duration of follow-up was 54.4 months,5-year EFS was 87 % in the MPR group vs. 68 % in the non-MPR group. Multivariate analysis showed that low PR expression, high clinical stage, lower Miller–Payne grades and Positive lymph node ratio were independent poor prognostic factors for EFS (all P values < 0.05). The prognostic effect of MPR remained in multivariable models (hazard ratio (HR), 0.45; 95 % confidence interval (CI), 0.26–0.76; P = 0.008), In non-pCR patients, those who achieved MPR exhibited a similar EFS compared with pCR patients (HR, 2.25; 95 % CI, 0.51–9.84; P = 0.28). Conclusion: MPR may be a novel pathologic end point in HR+/HER2-breast cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy, holding greater applicability in the prognosis evaluation than pCR.