A fusion model for CPU load prediction in cloud computing

Load prediction plays a key role in cost-optimal resource allocation and datacenter energy saving. In this paper, we use real-world traces from Cloud platform and propose a fusion model to forecast the future CPU loads. First, long CPU load time series data are divided into short sequences with same length from the historical data on the basis of cloud control cycle. Then we use kernel fuzzy c-means clustering algorithm to put the subsequences into different clusters. For each cluster, with current load sequence, a genetic algorithm optimized wavelet Elman neural network prediction model is exploited to predict the CPU load in next time interval. Finally, we obtain the optimal cloud computing CPU load prediction results from the cluster and its corresponding predictor with minimum forecasting error. Experimental results show that our algorithm performs better than other models reported in previous works.