高保真数值核反应堆不确定度量化方法研究进展

Numerical reactor based on high fidelity model and method is with the characteristics of high precision and high resolution, but the inherent uncertainty of nuclear data and other parameters will seriously affect the uncertainty of numerical reactor analysis results. Based on the review of the research progresses of numerical reactors and its uncertainty quantification in the world, this paper focuses on the research progresses in NECP Laboratory of Xi'an Jiaotong University in recent years, including the development of one-step high fidelity numerical reactor program NECP-X, the generation of nuclear data covariance database, the uncertainty propagation method based on deterministic method and sampling method, and the uncertainty quantification in transient calculation. An advanced sampling method COST is proposed. Based on the high fidelity numerical reactor program, the uncertainty propagation of covariance of various nuclear parameters in the steady-state and transient analysis of the reactor core is quantified for the first time, which is of great significance for engineering application of numerical reactors.