电碳协同视角下城市配电系统弹性提升规划综述

Driven by the dual-carbon targets, urban distribution power systems (UDPSs) are transitioning from a dual balance of “safety-economy” to a triadic equilibrium of “safety-economy-low carbon”. The frequent occurrence of extreme weather events has exposed traditional resilience enhancement planning strategies to a binary opposition dilemma between safety and low carbon, urgently requiring an electricity-carbon synergy framework to resolve the dual predicament of non-disaster carbon reduction and disaster-induced instability. This paper systematically constructs a theoretical framework for urban distribution system resilience enhancement planning under the electricity-carbon synergy perspective. Firstly, this paper elaborates on the basic concepts and transmission mechanisms of electricity-carbon synergy, clarifying the core objective of “non-disaster near-zero carbon economy and disaster-time low-carbon stability”. Secondly, this paper analyzes the key technologies and methodological systems for resilience enhancement planning from following four dimensions: scenario construction, planning models, solution methods, and strategy verification. Finally, this paper identifies key challenges including multi-hazard coupling modeling, multi-time scale coordination mechanisms, and multi-uncertainty analysis, and puts forward the prospects in future development directions. The research shows that electricity-carbon synergistic resilience enhancement planning has become one of the important directions for high-quality transformation of urban distribution systems, providing theoretical supports and technical pathways for constructing safe, low-carbon, and economical new power systems.