Abstract
Cutting off infected branches has always been an effective method for removing fire-blight infection in an orchard. We introduce a Filippov fire-blight model with a threshold policy: cutting off infected branches and replanting susceptible trees. The dynamics of the proposed piecewise smooth model are described by differential equations with discontinuous right-hand sides. For each susceptible threshold value S T , we investigate the global dynamical behaviour of the Filippov system, including the existence of all the possible equilibria, their stability and sliding-mode dynamics, as we vary the infected threshold level I T . Our results show that model solutions ultimately approach the equilibrium that lies in the region above I T or below I T or on I=I T , or the equilibrium E T =(S T ,I T ) on the surface of discontinuity. Furthermore, control strategies should be taken when the solution of this system approaches the equilibrium that lies in the region above I T . The findings indicate that proper choice of susceptible and infected threshold levels can either preclude an outbreak of fire blight or lead the number of infected trees to a desired level.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 492-519 |
| Number of pages | 28 |
| Journal | Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications |
| Volume | 39 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Feb 2018 |
Keywords
- Economic threshold
- Equilibrium
- Filippov system
- Fire blight
- Sliding mode
- Threshold policy
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