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Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction on Highways Based on Self-Supervised Spatio-Temporal Transformer

  • Xingping Guo
  • , Jingni Song
  • , Kai Du
  • , Dan Chen
  • , Jianwu Fang
  • Chang'an University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Accurate prediction of highway traffic flow is crucial for traffic management and network planning. Traditional forecasting methods often struggle with data limitations and complex traffic conditions. The widespread use of Electronic Toll Collection (ETC) technology offers a new opportunity to obtain large-scale, high-precision traffic data for improved forecasting. This study presents a short-term highway traffic flow prediction method using a self-supervised spatiotemporal Transformer based on ETC data. This powerful neural network model captures spatiotemporal dependencies in traffic data. It comprises a spatiotemporal Transformer for prediction and a masked autoencoder to handle missing data, enhancing generalization. We collected and processed extensive ETC data, applying the model to generate accurate traffic flow predictions. Comparisons with baseline models demonstrate that our method significantly improves prediction accuracy and reliability in short-term traffic forecasting.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of 4th 2024 International Conference on Autonomous Unmanned Systems, 4th ICAUS 2024 - Volume VII
EditorsLianqing Liu, Yifeng Niu, Wenxing Fu, Yi Qu
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages231-241
Number of pages11
ISBN (Print)9789819635917
DOIs
StatePublished - 2025
Event4th International Conference on Autonomous Unmanned Systems, ICAUS 2024 - Shenyang, China
Duration: 19 Sep 202421 Sep 2024

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Electrical Engineering
Volume1380 LNEE
ISSN (Print)1876-1100
ISSN (Electronic)1876-1119

Conference

Conference4th International Conference on Autonomous Unmanned Systems, ICAUS 2024
Country/TerritoryChina
CityShenyang
Period19/09/2421/09/24

Keywords

  • Deep Learning
  • ETC Data
  • Intelligent Transportation
  • Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction

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