Identification of a three-long non-coding RNA signature for predicting survival of temozolomide-treated isocitrate dehydrogenase mutant low-grade gliomas

Temozolomide (TMZ) is the major chemotherapy agent in glioma, and isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) is a well-known prognostic marker in glioma. O6-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase promoter methylation (MGMTmethyl) is a predictive biomarker in overall gliomas rather than in IDH mutant gliomas. To discover effective biomarkers that could predict TMZ efficacy in IDH mutant low-grade gliomas (LGGs), we retrieved data of IDH mutant LGGs from TMZ arm of the EORTC22033-26033 trial as the training-set (n = 83), analyzed correlations between long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) and progression-free survival (PFS) using Lasso-Cox regression, and created a risk score (RS) to stratify patients. We identified a three-lncRNA signature in TMZ-treated IDH mutant LGGs. All of the three lncRNAs, as well as the RS derived, were significantly correlated with PFS. Patients were classified into high-risk and low-risk groups according to RS. PFS of the high-risk group was significantly worse than that of the low-risk group (P < 0.001). AUCs of the three-, four-, and five-year survival probability predicted by RS were 0.73, 0.79, and 0.76, respectively. The predictive role of the three-lncRNA signature was further validated in an independent testing-set, the TCGA-LGGs, which resulted in a significantly worse PFS (P < 0.001) in the high-risk group. Three-, four-, and five-year survival probabilities predicted by RS were 0.65, 0.69, and 0.84, respectively. Functions of these three lncRNAs involve cell proliferation and differentiation, predicted by their targeting cancer genes. Conclusively, we created a scoring model based on the expression of three lncRNAs, which can effectively predict the survival of IDH mutant LGGs treated with TMZ.