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How time-inconsistent preferences influence venture capital exit decisions? A new perspective for grandstanding

  • Xi'an Jiaotong University
  • Beijing University of Technology

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

7 Scopus citations

Abstract

Considering that the assumption of time consistency does not adequately reveal the mechanisms of exit decisions of venture capital (VC), this study proposes two kinds of time-inconsistent preferences (i.e., time-flow inconsistency and time-point inconsistency) to advance research in this field. Time-flow inconsistency is in line with the previous time inconsistency literature, while time-point inconsistency is rooted in the VC fund’s finite lifespan. Based on the assumption about the strategies guiding future behaviors, we consider four types of venture capitalists: time-consistent, time-point-inconsistent, naïve, and sophisticated venture capitalists, of which the latter three are time-inconsistent. We derive and compare the exit thresholds of these four types of venture capitalists. The main results include: (1) time-inconsistent preferences accelerate the exits of venture capitalists; (2) the closer the VC funds expiry dates are, the more likely time-inconsistent venture capitalists are to accelerate their exits; and (3) future selves caused by time-flow inconsistency weaken the effect of time-point inconsistency. Our study provides a behavioral explanation for the empirical fact of young VCs’ grandstanding.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1
JournalFinancial Innovation
Volume8
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2022

Keywords

  • Exit decisions
  • Real options
  • Start-ups
  • Time-inconsistent preferences
  • Venture capital

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