Abstract
A piece-wise epidemic model of a switching vaccination program, implemented once the number of people exposed to a disease-causing virus reaches a critical level, is proposed. In addition, variation or uncertainties in interventions are examined with a perturbed system version of the model. We also analyzed the global dynamic behaviors of both the original piece-wise system and the perturbed version theoretically, using generalized Jacobian theory, Lyapunov constants for a non-smooth vector field and a generalization of Dulac's criterion. The main results show that, as the critical value varies, there are three possibilities for stabilization of the piece-wise system: (i) at the disease-free equilibrium; (ii) at the endemic states for the two subsystems or (iii) at a generalized equilibrium which is a novel global attractor for nonsmooth systems. The perturbed system exhibits new global attractors including a pseudo-focus of parabolic-parabolic (PP) type, a pseudo-equilibrium and a crossing cycle surrounding a sliding mode region. Our findings demonstrate that an infectious disease can be eradicated either by increasing the vaccination rate or by stabilizing the number of infected individuals at a previously given level, conditional upon a suitable critical level and the parameter values.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 2915-2940 |
| Number of pages | 26 |
| Journal | Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems - Series B |
| Volume | 19 |
| Issue number | 9 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - 1 Nov 2014 |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
Keywords
- Generalized equilibrium
- Global dynamics
- Limit cycle
- Perturbed system
- Piece-wise epidemic model
- Vaccination
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