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Global dynamics of a piece-wise epidemic model with switching vaccination strategy

  • Xi'an Jiaotong University
  • Baoji University of Arts and Sciences
  • University of Greenwich

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

12 Scopus citations

Abstract

A piece-wise epidemic model of a switching vaccination program, implemented once the number of people exposed to a disease-causing virus reaches a critical level, is proposed. In addition, variation or uncertainties in interventions are examined with a perturbed system version of the model. We also analyzed the global dynamic behaviors of both the original piece-wise system and the perturbed version theoretically, using generalized Jacobian theory, Lyapunov constants for a non-smooth vector field and a generalization of Dulac's criterion. The main results show that, as the critical value varies, there are three possibilities for stabilization of the piece-wise system: (i) at the disease-free equilibrium; (ii) at the endemic states for the two subsystems or (iii) at a generalized equilibrium which is a novel global attractor for nonsmooth systems. The perturbed system exhibits new global attractors including a pseudo-focus of parabolic-parabolic (PP) type, a pseudo-equilibrium and a crossing cycle surrounding a sliding mode region. Our findings demonstrate that an infectious disease can be eradicated either by increasing the vaccination rate or by stabilizing the number of infected individuals at a previously given level, conditional upon a suitable critical level and the parameter values.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2915-2940
Number of pages26
JournalDiscrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems - Series B
Volume19
Issue number9
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Nov 2014

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • Generalized equilibrium
  • Global dynamics
  • Limit cycle
  • Perturbed system
  • Piece-wise epidemic model
  • Vaccination

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