Exchange rates forecasting with decomposition-clustering-ensemble learning approach

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Abstract

This paper proposes a new EEMD-LSSVR-K-based decomposition-clustering-ensemble learning approach for foreign exchange rates forecasting by integrating ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), least square support vector regression (LSSVR) and K-means clustering algorithm. Clustering strategy is used to extend the fixed-weighted meta-synthetic in decomposition-ensemble learning approach to weighted with local data characteristics meta-synthetic. Our proposed approach can effectively solve the shortcoming of fixed-weighted meta-synthetic in decomposition-ensemble learning approach. Meanwhile, our proposed approach is applied to four type exchange rates forecasting. The empirical results show that our proposed approach significantly improves the level and directional accuracy of exchange rates forecasting, and verify the importance of clustering strategy in decomposition-ensemble learning approach.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)664-677
Number of pages14
JournalXitong Gongcheng Lilun yu Shijian/System Engineering Theory and Practice
Volume42
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - 25 Mar 2022

Keywords

  • Decomposition-ensemble learning
  • Ensemble empirical mode decomposition
  • Exchange rates forecasting
  • K-means clustering
  • Least square support vector regression

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