Eigenvalue sensitivity and uncertainty analysis based on classical perturbation theory

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Abstract

The uncertainty of nuclear data is being paid to more and more attention because it is one of the most important uncertainty sources in lattice calculation. The expressions of sensitivity and uncertainty of keff with respect to the cross sections were deduced based on the classical perturbation theory. A covariance library was made based on ENDF/B-VII.1, and the individual covariance matrices of cross section were combined according to the cross section model for lattice calculation in this work. A code COLEUS (calculation tool for evaluating uncertainty and sensitivity) was developed for the sensitivity and uncertainty analysis, and a traditional PWR fuel pin cell problem was calculated and analyzed. Numerical results indicate that keff of lattice calculation is the most sensitive to the perturbation of the average number of neutrons released per fission of 235U, while the capture cross section of 238U has the biggest contribution to the final uncertainty. The measuring accuracy of present nuclear data will bring an uncertainty about 0.4%-0.5% for keff.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1247-1253
Number of pages7
JournalYuanzineng Kexue Jishu/Atomic Energy Science and Technology
Volume49
Issue number7
DOIs
StatePublished - 20 Jul 2015

Keywords

  • Covariance
  • Perturbation theory
  • Sensitivity
  • Uncertainty

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