TY - GEN
T1 - Deep Reinforcement Learning-Based Dual-Agent Framework for Wind Power Forecasting
AU - Guo, Yiwei
AU - Yang, Qingyu
AU - Wang, Jingbo
AU - Li, Donghe
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2026 IEEE.
PY - 2026
Y1 - 2026
N2 - Accurate ultra-short-term wind power forecasting is essential for reliable wind power integration and operational dispatch, yet the non-stationary and regime-dependent nature of wind power signals makes it difficult for any single forecasting model to remain robust under diverse operating conditions. To address this issue, we propose a dual-agent deep reinforcement learning framework for wind power forecasting. A TD3-based fusion agent first assigns adaptive ensemble weights to four heterogeneous base models according to the meteorological context and historical errors. A SAC-based compensation agent then further refines the fused prediction by correcting systematic residual bias through temporal error patterns. Experiments on the public SDWPF real-world wind power dataset show that the proposed method consistently outperforms individual models, static ensemble methods, and a dynamic fusion baseline across all forecast horizons. Compared with the best individual model, the proposed method reduces MAE from 163.74kW to 96.81kW, corresponding to a 40.9% improvement, while increasing R2 from 0.7255 to 0.8686. Moreover, compared with Agent1, the second-stage compensation further reduces MAE by 30.2%. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed dual-agent framework for ultra-short-term wind power forecasting.
AB - Accurate ultra-short-term wind power forecasting is essential for reliable wind power integration and operational dispatch, yet the non-stationary and regime-dependent nature of wind power signals makes it difficult for any single forecasting model to remain robust under diverse operating conditions. To address this issue, we propose a dual-agent deep reinforcement learning framework for wind power forecasting. A TD3-based fusion agent first assigns adaptive ensemble weights to four heterogeneous base models according to the meteorological context and historical errors. A SAC-based compensation agent then further refines the fused prediction by correcting systematic residual bias through temporal error patterns. Experiments on the public SDWPF real-world wind power dataset show that the proposed method consistently outperforms individual models, static ensemble methods, and a dynamic fusion baseline across all forecast horizons. Compared with the best individual model, the proposed method reduces MAE from 163.74kW to 96.81kW, corresponding to a 40.9% improvement, while increasing R2 from 0.7255 to 0.8686. Moreover, compared with Agent1, the second-stage compensation further reduces MAE by 30.2%. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed dual-agent framework for ultra-short-term wind power forecasting.
KW - Deep Reinforcement Learning
KW - Dynamic Ensemble Fusion
KW - Residual Error Compensation
KW - Wind Power Forecasting
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105044143307
U2 - 10.1109/ICAISISAS68969.2026.11567810
DO - 10.1109/ICAISISAS68969.2026.11567810
M3 - 会议稿件
AN - SCOPUS:105044143307
T3 - 2026 Joint International Conference on Automation-Intelligence-Safety, ICAIS 2026 and International Symposium on Autonomous Systems, ISAS 2026
BT - 2026 Joint International Conference on Automation-Intelligence-Safety, ICAIS 2026 and International Symposium on Autonomous Systems, ISAS 2026
PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
T2 - 2026 Joint International Conference on Automation-Intelligence-Safety, ICAIS 2026 and International Symposium on Autonomous Systems, ISAS 2026
Y2 - 8 May 2026 through 10 May 2026
ER -