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Deep Reinforcement Learning-Based Dual-Agent Framework for Wind Power Forecasting

  • Yiwei Guo
  • , Qingyu Yang
  • , Jingbo Wang
  • , Donghe Li
  • Xi'an Jiaotong University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Accurate ultra-short-term wind power forecasting is essential for reliable wind power integration and operational dispatch, yet the non-stationary and regime-dependent nature of wind power signals makes it difficult for any single forecasting model to remain robust under diverse operating conditions. To address this issue, we propose a dual-agent deep reinforcement learning framework for wind power forecasting. A TD3-based fusion agent first assigns adaptive ensemble weights to four heterogeneous base models according to the meteorological context and historical errors. A SAC-based compensation agent then further refines the fused prediction by correcting systematic residual bias through temporal error patterns. Experiments on the public SDWPF real-world wind power dataset show that the proposed method consistently outperforms individual models, static ensemble methods, and a dynamic fusion baseline across all forecast horizons. Compared with the best individual model, the proposed method reduces MAE from 163.74kW to 96.81kW, corresponding to a 40.9% improvement, while increasing R2 from 0.7255 to 0.8686. Moreover, compared with Agent1, the second-stage compensation further reduces MAE by 30.2%. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed dual-agent framework for ultra-short-term wind power forecasting.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2026 Joint International Conference on Automation-Intelligence-Safety, ICAIS 2026 and International Symposium on Autonomous Systems, ISAS 2026
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9798319531193
DOIs
StatePublished - 2026
Event2026 Joint International Conference on Automation-Intelligence-Safety, ICAIS 2026 and International Symposium on Autonomous Systems, ISAS 2026 - Xuzhou, China
Duration: 8 May 202610 May 2026

Publication series

Name2026 Joint International Conference on Automation-Intelligence-Safety, ICAIS 2026 and International Symposium on Autonomous Systems, ISAS 2026

Conference

Conference2026 Joint International Conference on Automation-Intelligence-Safety, ICAIS 2026 and International Symposium on Autonomous Systems, ISAS 2026
Country/TerritoryChina
CityXuzhou
Period8/05/2610/05/26

Keywords

  • Deep Reinforcement Learning
  • Dynamic Ensemble Fusion
  • Residual Error Compensation
  • Wind Power Forecasting

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