Context-Aware Saliency Guided Radiomics: Application to Prediction of Outcome and HPV-Status from Multi-Center PET/CT Images of Head and Neck Cancer

Purpose: This multi-center study aims to investigate the prognostic value of context-aware saliency-guided radiomics in¹⁸ F-FDG PET/CT images of head and neck cancer (HNC). Methods: 806 HNC patients (training vs. validation vs. external testing: 500 vs. 97 vs. 209) from 9 centers were collected from The Cancer Imaging Archive (TCIA). There were 100/384 and 60/123 oropharyngeal carcinoma (OPC) patients with human papillomavirus (HPV) status in training and testing cohorts, respectively. Six types of images were used for radiomics feature extraction and further model construction, namely (i) the original image (Origin), (ii) a context-aware saliency map (SalMap), (iii, iv) high-or low-saliency regions in the original image (highSal or lowSal), (v) a saliency-weighted image (SalxImg), and finally, (vi) a fused PET-CT image (FusedImg). Four outcomes were evaluated, i.e., recurrence-free survival (RFS), metastasis-free survival (MFS), overall survival (OS), and disease-free survival (DFS), respectively. Multivariate Cox analysis and logistic regression were adopted to construct radiomics scores for the prediction of outcome (Rad_Ocm) and HPV-status (Rad_HPV), respectively. Besides, the prognostic value of their integration (Rad_Ocm_HPV) was also investigated. Results: In the external testing cohort, compared with the Origin model, SalMap and SalxImg achieved the highest C-indices for RFS (0.621 vs. 0.559) and MFS (0.785 vs. 0.739) predictions, respectively, while FusedImg performed the best for both OS (0.685 vs. 0.659) and DFS (0.641 vs. 0.582) predictions. In the OPC HPV testing cohort, FusedImg showed higher AUC for HPV-status prediction compared with the Origin model (0.653 vs. 0.484). In the OPC testing cohort, compared with Rad_Ocm or Rad_HPV alone, Rad_Ocm_HPV performed the best for OS and DFS predictions with C-indices of 0.702 (p = 0.002) and 0.684 (p = 0.006), respectively. Conclusion: Saliency-guided radiomics showed enhanced performance for both outcome and HPV-status predictions relative to conventional radiomics. The radiomics-predicted HPV status also showed complementary prognostic value.