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Complex dynamics of a discrete-time seasonally forced SIR epidemic model

  • Parvaiz Ahmad Naik
  • , Zohreh Eskandari
  • , Anotida Madzvamuse
  • , Zakieh Avazzadeh
  • , Jian Zu
  • Xi'an Jiaotong University
  • Youjiang Medical University for Nationalities
  • Fasa University
  • University of British Columbia
  • University of South Africa

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

38 Scopus citations

Abstract

In this paper, a discrete-time seasonally forced SIR epidemic model with a nonstandard discretization scheme is investigated for different types of bifurcations. Although many researchers have already suggested numerically that this model can exhibit chaotic dynamics, not much focus is given to the bifurcation theory of the model. We prove analytically and numerically the existence of different types of bifurcations in the model. First, one and two parameters bifurcations of this model are investigated by computing their critical normal form coefficients. Second, the flip, Neimark–Sacker, and strong resonance bifurcations are detected for this model. The critical coefficients identify the scenario associated with each bifurcation. The complete complex dynamical behavior of the model is investigated. The model is discretized by a novel technique, namely a nonstandard finite difference discretization scheme (NSFD). Some graphical representations of the model are presented to verify the obtained results.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)7045-7059
Number of pages15
JournalMathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences
Volume46
Issue number6
DOIs
StatePublished - Apr 2023

Keywords

  • NSFD scheme
  • Neimark–Sacker bifurcation
  • SIR epidemic model
  • bifurcation
  • flip bifurcation
  • strong resonance bifurcations

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