A four-stage fast reliability assessment framework for renewables-dominated strong power systems with large-scale energy storage by temporal decoupling and contingencies filtering

Reliability assessment for renewables-dominated strong power systems presents significant challenges, primarily due to the overwhelming computational demands posed by large-scale renewable generation and energy storage. In response to the limitations and lack of scalability in traditional methods, this study introduces a novel four-stage fast reliability assessment framework tailored for renewables-dominated strong power systems. First and foremost, the pre-dispatch and temporal decoupling of energy storage serve as vital foundations for the fast assessment framework. Following the pre-dispatch model, an adaptive scenario clustering technique is proposed to eliminate redundant scenarios while retaining extreme ones. Consequently, a quick verification process for contingencies is established, employing DC optimal power flow in the worst-case scenario to identify potential load shedding. Then, all contingencies are filtered to only effective ones for reliability indices computation. Finally, a modified reliability calculation model with linear AC power flow is built using the filtered contingency set and reduced scenarios. The efficacy of this approach is validated through four numerical experiments, demonstrating impressive efficiency and computation feasibility. For accuracy, the proposed method shows a 3.7% average error in a modified IEEE RTS system, and for efficiency, the proposed method finishes N-2 analysis in 424 s for a 62-bus-212-line case as well as 4924 s for a 200-bus-490-line case.